Today's coastal zones are densely inhabited as the majority of the world's population lives in these attractive areas. The shorelines in coastal zones are shaped by complex spatial and temporal variable interactions between natural forcings like changes in mean sea-level, tides,
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Today's coastal zones are densely inhabited as the majority of the world's population lives in these attractive areas. The shorelines in coastal zones are shaped by complex spatial and temporal variable interactions between natural forcings like changes in mean sea-level, tides, wave and wind conditions, and storm surges. Besides, natural hazards such as coastal erosion, tropical cyclones, hurricanes, typhoons, floods, salt intrusion and tidal surges threaten a major part of the world's population. Furthermore, climate change is likely to increase the risk of natural hazards. As a response, humans changed the world's shorelines and the forcing-driven processes that work on them, to increase protection against hazards and keep supporting their activities. These human interventions are deployed discontinued in time, disperse spatially and might result in negative consequences leading to human-induced hazards. This research focuses on one particular hazard to coastal communities, coastal erosion, which is extended to a term referred to as shoreline evolution by incorporating coastal accretion as well. Up till now, detailed local-scale studies are able to expose human and natural drivers of shoreline evolution and provide a possibility to make a step towards intentional rather than accidental coastal engineering. Digital imaging and, more recently introduced, satellite imagery proved to be a promising new technology to measure and monitor shoreline evolution at bigger temporal and spatial scales. Nevertheless, the opportunity to develop a model that exposes the drivers of shoreline evolution on a planetary scale remains unexplored. This is due to the required computational effort as well as the large variability in coastal systems around the world. With an ever-increasing data availability, data-driven models incorporating Machine Learning (ML) proved to be an efficient alternative approach to heavy computing classical process-driven models in civil engineering practice. Next to this, a coastal classification can be used as a means to inventory the aforementioned variability. Therefore, the research objective in this study is to explore the possibility of exposing and classifying the drivers of shoreline evolution on a planetary scale, by employing ML on satellite imagery. Approximately 390.000 km of shoreline is analyzed for the past 33 years. This resulted in a statistically derived classification of natural and human-induced sandy shoreline evolution. By elaborating on this classification, it is found that natural and human-induced shoreline evolution accounts for approximately 16 and 25% of the total of globally exposed and classified shoreline evolution signals respectively. All outcomes in this research can support detailed local scale investigations and therefore provide an enhanced opportunity to make a step towards intentional rather than accidental coastal engineering. Hence, it is concluded that the developed and applied methods that employ ML on satellite imagery can be used to expose and classify (in)direct human and natural influences on sandy shoreline evolution using spatial and temporal characteristics on a planetary scale. 57% of the shoreline evolution signals is present in a regime with complex and combined (compound) influences, which still requires (rather than supports) local scale investigations to determine the correct influence or driver. More research is required to elaborate on the opportunities that can enhance insight in the compound regime, to improve the obtained results and advance the applicability of this study.