In the contemporary global environment, supply chains are increasingly vulnerable to disruptions, with environmental and supplier disturbances posing frequent challenges. This research aimed to understand the influence of a systematic supplier selection approach, combined with an effective risk mitigation strategy, on supply chain performance amidst supply-side disruption risks. We identified a significant gap in current supply chain management: the lack of a structured supplier selection methodology, which can lead to inefficiencies and performance declines. To address this, our study employed the best worst method (BWM) for systematic supplier assessment and ranking. Simultaneously, a discrete-event simulation model on the Simio platform was utilized to emulate supply chain dynamics, factoring in various suppliers and potential disruptions.
Our findings, contextualized within the polymer industry, highlighted Material Quality, Supply Reliability, Price, and Lead Time as the most critical criteria for supplier selection. The BWM rankings correlated strongly with actual supply chain outcomes, emphasizing its effectiveness. In terms of risk mitigation, flexibility-oriented sourcing strategies were superior to redundancy-oriented ones, demonstrating better management of supply-side disruptions and reduced safety stock levels.
These results have both societal and scientific implications. Societally, a methodical supplier selection process ensures resilient supply chains, essential for sectors like healthcare and food, and promotes global collaboration and innovation through diversified supplier sourcing. Scientifically, our research validates the BWM's utility for supplier selection, challenging conventional beliefs linking higher costs to superior risk mitigation. A key insight was the growing importance of flexibility in modern supply chain risk management.
For the polymer sector, we recommend a BWM-based structured supplier selection process. By partnering with top-ranked suppliers and diversifying geographically, businesses can reduce safety stock levels. Our simulation model provides a practical tool for decision-makers, facilitating scenario testing to identify optimal strategies.
However, our study's limitations must be acknowledged. Tailored primarily for the polymer industry, the specific assumptions underpinning our simulation may not be universally relevant. Thus, while our insights are valuable, their applicability might be limited by data constraints and the polymer sector's distinct attributes.
In conclusion, a methodical supplier selection, paired with a flexibility-oriented sourcing approach, optimizes supply chain performance in the face of supply-side disruptions. Enhancing these elements can guide businesses in developing agile supply chains, ensuring cost-effectiveness and improved performance.