Planning cable installation activities for offshore wind farms including risk of supply delays
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Abstract
Installation of Offshore Wind Farms (OWF) is subject to various uncertainties which concern environmental conditions, failures and availability of components. These should be taken into account when estimating the duration in order to efficiently plan the construction. This paper presents a methodology to include
possible disturbances on the supply of cable, in order to extend a developed decision support tool for the cable installation. A realistic test case was simulated for two scenarios, when uncertainty regarding the availability of the cable is neglected and when it is modelled using expert assessments. It was found that the proposed methodology can help professionals and/or researchers in investigating cost-effective alternatives concerning the assets that are used in the installation. Concluding, it is suggested to apply this methodology to the supply chain of the entire OWF installation as well as use structured expert judgement in order to improve the quality of resulting estimates.
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