Lumen maintenance predictions for LED packages

Journal article (2016)

Authors

W.D. van Driel Electronic Components, Technology and Materials - EEMCS , Philips Lighting Research
M Schuld Consultants in Quantitative Methods (CQM)
B. Jacobs Philips Lighting Research
F. Commissaris Philips Lighting Research
J. van der Eyden Philips Lighting Research
B. Hamon Philips Lighting, Miribel
Research Group
Electronic Components, Technology and Materials (EEMCS) (TU Delft)
Copyright: © 2016 W.D. van Driel, M. Schuld, B. Jacobs, F. Commissaris, J. van der Eyden, B. Hamon
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.microrel.2016.03.018
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Published Date

2016

Language

English

Faculty

Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science

Department

Microelectronics

Research Group

Electronic Components, Technology and Materials

Abstract

Commercial claims for LED-based products in terms of lumen maintenance are fully based on TM-21 extrapolations using LM-80 data. This paper indicates that there may be a risk in doing this as TM-21 only relies on the behavior of the average LED degradation, instead of taking into account the degradation of all individual LEDs. Therefore, we propose a more profound statistical analysis in order to make the appropriate step from TM-21 extrapolation to lumen maintenance on a product level. This is needed as some commercial claims are based on 10 years of warranty and some service bids provide periods of 20 to 25 years of operation. This paper reviews the different approaches currently available to perform lumen maintenance extrapolations. We propose a new method to analyze and extrapolate LM-80 data using a more profound statistical approach.

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